Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Matagalpa		Rancho Santana

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.70	4.75
	1.55	3.75	4.6	Watch
	1.54	3.98	4.82
	1.59	4.16	5	Watch
	1.51	3.9	4.7
	1.59	4.06	5.33
	1.56	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)	4.83 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matagalpa
58.1%

Draw
23.2%

Rancho Santana
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

19.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matagalpa's performance.

Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matagalpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rancho Santana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matagalpa - Rancho Santana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 2.

In recent matches, Matagalpa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rancho Santana has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Matagalpa is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Matagalpa	9	3	0	6	4:16	-12	9
10	Rancho Santana	10	1	2	7	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
23.08.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Matagalpa - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Matagalpa - Managua	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Rancho Santana FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
23.08.26	Rancho Santana - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rancho Santana - Walter Ferretti	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Rancho Santana - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Managua - Rancho Santana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.03.26	Rancho Santana - Matagalpa	2:8
24.01.26	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	0:2
27.09.25	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	1:4
22.07.25	Rancho Santana - Matagalpa	1:2
22.03.25	Rancho Santana - Matagalpa	1:1
26.02.25	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	2:1
03.11.24	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	1:0

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