Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Municipal Jalapa		Matagalpa

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.60
	1.98	3.25	3.05	Watch
	1.88	3.41	3.73
	1.89	3.56	3.87	Watch
	1.86	3.35	3.65
	1.90	3.52	3.93	Watch
	1.83	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.64 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Jalapa
48.1%

Draw
26.9%

Matagalpa
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Jalapa's performance.

Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matagalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Jalapa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matagalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jalapa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Matagalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jalapa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalapa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Matagalpa	9	3	0	6	4:16	-12	9
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.08.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.08.26	Matagalpa - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Matagalpa - Managua	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Copa Primera
04.07.26	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	3:1
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1
11.02.26	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:3
26.10.25	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	3:0
16.08.25	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	0:2
10.04.24	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:0
11.02.24	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	2:1

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