Match Info

Copa Primera - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Fonseca (Matagalpa)


	Matagalpa		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.20	3.20
	2.04	3.27	3.17
	2.14	3.30	3.21	Watch
	2.01	3.2	3.1
	2.05	3.24	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matagalpa
44%

Draw
27.8%

Municipal Jalapa
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3.

Matagalpa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Matagalpa - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.77%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.05.26	Diriangén - Matagalpa	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Managua - Matagalpa	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LLWTW
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.05.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1
11.02.26	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:3
26.10.25	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	3:0
16.08.25	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	0:2
10.04.24	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:0
11.02.24	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	2:1
22.10.23	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	3:1

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