Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Matera		Acerrana

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.35	4
	1.82	3.45	4.03	Watch
	1.8	3.34	4.12
	1.81	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matera
50.4%

Draw
27%

Acerrana
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Acerrana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Matera - Acerrana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Baldi L. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Acerrana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Matera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.25	Casarano - Matera	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Matera - Ischia Isolaverde	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Gravina - Matera	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Matera - Manfredonia	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Fidelis Andria - Matera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.25	Acerrana - Angri	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Martina Calcio - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Acerrana - Città di Brindisi	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Casarano - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Acerrana - Palmese 1914	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.10.24	Acerrana - Matera	0:2

Matera - Acerrana