Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Matera		Città di Brindisi

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.24	3.35	2.8
	2.48	3.34	2.74
	2.24	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.24)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.67 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matera
38.2%

Draw
27.6%

Città di Brindisi
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matera's performance.

Città di Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Città di Brindisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matera than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di Brindisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matera - Città di Brindisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Di Piazza M. (Pen),
29', 2 - 0, Di Piazza M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 2 - 1, Rajkovic M. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Manole M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Matera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brindisi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Brindisi have a series of home games.

Brindisi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Matera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Matera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.03.25	Città di Fasano - Matera	6:1 ✺
09.03.25	Matera - Palmese 1914	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Martina Calcio - Matera	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Matera - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Casarano - Matera	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWL
- SSD Città di Brindisi
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.03.25	Città di Brindisi - Angri	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Città di Fasano - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Città di Brindisi - Martina Calcio	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Città di Brindisi - Casarano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
17.11.24	Città di Brindisi - Matera	1:1
11.03.23	Città di Brindisi - Matera	1:0
06.11.22	Matera - Città di Brindisi	2:1

Matera - Città di Brindisi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide