The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matera 61.7%
Draw 24.2%
Gallipoli 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
25.2%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
24.2%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Gallipoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gallipoli than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Matera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Gallipoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Matera is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Matera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.