The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matera 40%
Draw 29.7%
Lavello 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
29.4%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.9%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).
Recent matches Matera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lavello is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.