Match Info

KENYA: Super League - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Mathare United		Kibera Black Stars

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.46	5.21
	1.61	3.28	4.66
	1.44	4.09	6.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	3.61 ↓ (3.83)	5.62 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
59.1%

Draw
24.9%

Kibera Black Stars
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.7%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mathare United - Kibera Black Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Okoth E. (Own goal),
21', 2 - 0, Were P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 2 - 1, Ramadhani H. ⚽,
79', Ange D. (Pen),
86', 2 - 2, Bolo R. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ange D. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Mathare United is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mathare United to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Super League
10.05.24	Naivas - Mathare United	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Mathare United - Dimba Patriots	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Mathare United - Kisumu All-Stars	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Mulembe United - Mathare United	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mathare United - Luanda Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWTW
- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
12.05.24	Kibera Black Stars - Kajiado	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Mulembe United - Kibera Black Stars	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kibera Black Stars - Darajani Gogo	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Naivas - Kibera Black Stars	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	Kibera Black Stars - Assad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
16.12.23	Kibera Black Stars - Mathare United	2:2

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