Match Info

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 1d 2h 📅 Remind Me


	Mathare United		Tusker

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.72	2.65
	2.73	2.83	2.68	Watch
	2.65	2.72	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)	2.66 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
33.6%

Draw
32.6%

Tusker
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

32.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mathare United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2.

Performances by Tusker have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mathare United has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:25 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mathare United against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 0.8:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
24.10.26	Migori Youth - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Kenya CB - Mathare United	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Mathare United - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mathare United - Bandari	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWL
- Tusker
CAF Confederation Cup
25.10.26	Singida Black Stars - Tusker	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Tusker - Singida Black Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
11.10.26	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
12.09.26	Tusker - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.02.26	Mathare United - Tusker	3:1
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0
27.04.25	Mathare United - Tusker	2:1
07.12.24	Tusker - Mathare United	2:0
12.04.23	Mathare United - Tusker	0:2
18.02.23	Tusker - Mathare United	2:1
28.05.22	Mathare United - Tusker	Canceled

Mathare United - Tusker