Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Tusker		Al-Ahli Wad Madani

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.30	2.95	2.85
	2.11	2.93	3.38
	2.41	3.09	3.02
	2.08	2.9	3.3
	2.34	2.98	3.27
	2.6	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.11)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
39.4%

Draw
30.9%

Al-Ahli Wad Madani
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Al-Ahli Wad Madani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Tusker - Al Ahli Wad Madani Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tusker will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tusker (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tusker won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tusker - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.82%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
CAF Confederation Cup
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2 ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
29.07.26	Tusker - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Tusker	2:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
14.06.26	Tusker - Police FC	2:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Tusker - APS Bomet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWT
- Al-Ahli Wad Madani
CAF Confederation Cup
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2 ✺
Sudan Premier League
10.02.26	Merreikh Kosti - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	2:3 ✺
05.02.26	Al Hilal Manaqil - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Ahli Khartoum - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	1:4 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Merreikh Kosti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2

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