Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Ulinzi Stars		Tusker

	1	X	2
	3.50	2.62	2.20
	3.60	2.63	2.20
	3.7	2.7	2.21	Watch
	3.55	2.60	2.17
	3.15	3.15	2.24
	3.50	2.65	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.65)	2.73 ↓ (2.85)	2.2 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulinzi Stars
25.8%

Draw
33.2%

Tusker
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulinzi Stars's form might have worsened.

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tusker's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ulinzi Stars - Tusker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 0.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulinzi Stars	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Posta Rangers - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
03.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW
- Tusker
CAF Confederation Cup
12.09.26	Tusker - Al-Ahli Wad Madani	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2 ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
29.07.26	Tusker - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Tusker	2:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
14.06.26	Tusker - Police FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
03.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	1:2
Kenyan Premier League
05.12.25	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
25.01.25	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:1
23.10.24	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:1
21.04.24	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:1
01.11.23	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	0:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
20.05.23	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:0

Ulinzi Stars - Tusker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide