Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday


	Matlock Town		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	5.4	4.5	1.45
	5.22	4.8	1.45
	5.61	4.67	1.49	Watch
	5	4.33	1.44
	5.63	4.4	1.44
	5.4	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (3.67)	4.5 ↑ (3.6)	1.45 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
17%

Draw
20.2%

Macclesfield Town
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matlock Town's form might have worsened.

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macclesfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matlock Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macclesfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Elliott D. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Johnson J. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Kendall R. (Pen),
39', 2 - 2, Clayton A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 2 - 3, Rooney J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent matches Matlock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Macclesfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Macclesfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macclesfield is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Matlock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.24	Matlock Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Matlock Town - Basford United	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Hebburn Town - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Stourbridge - Matlock Town	3:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.24	Whitby Town - Matlock Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWLT
- Macclesfield Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	7:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Tamworth - Macclesfield Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.24	City of Liverpool - Macclesfield Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.01.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	1:2
15.08.23	Macclesfield Town - Matlock Town	3:0

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