Match Info
ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 14Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday
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 |
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Matlock Town |
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Basford United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.47 |
3.5 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.52 |
3.95 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.53 |
3.84 |
2.44 |
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 |
2.47 |
3.48 |
2.4 |
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2.47 |
3.5 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.47) |
3.61 ↑
(3.58) |
2.42 ↑
(2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matlock Town
36.9% | Draw
25.3% | Basford United
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The chances for Basford United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Matlock Town - Basford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Gibson M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 0, Smart S. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 0, Gibson M. ⚽,
- 71', 3 - 1, Richards K. ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 2, Waite T. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 3. Both teams are now playing unstable. Recently Matlock have a series of guest games. Recently Basford have a series of home games. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Matlock won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.4:1.4). Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Basford United - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 16.03.24 | Basford United - Matlock Town | 2:1 | | 24.10.23 | Matlock Town - Basford United | 2:0 | | 09.04.22 | Basford United - Matlock Town | 0:1 | | 17.08.21 | Matlock Town - Basford United | 2:1 | | 29.09.20 | Matlock Town - Basford United | 2:2 | | 04.01.20 | Matlock Town - Basford United | 0:1 | | English FA Cup | | | 07.09.19 | Matlock Town - Basford United | 2:1 |
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