Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Matonense		Barretos

	1	X	2
	6.8	4.6	1.36
	6.81	4.43	1.36
	7.05	4.56	1.38	Watch
	7.43	4.35	1.42
	6.8	4.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (6.2)	4.51 ↑ (4)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matonense
13.1%

Draw
20.3%

Barretos
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.8%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Barretos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barretos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matonense - Barretos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Fuzil (Pen),
18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 12).

Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barretos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barretos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barretos is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Matonense	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	União Barbarense - Matonense	3:0 ✺
12.02.25	Matonense - Taquaritinga	0:4 ✺
02.02.25	Matonense - Colorado Caieiras	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Barretos - União Barbarense	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Nacional SP - Barretos	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Barretos - Paulista	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Barretos	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLT

Matonense - Barretos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide