Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Barretos		Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense

	1	X	2
	2.46	2.69	3.02
	2.5	2.8	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.46	2.73	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	2.71 ↓ (3.03)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barretos
36.4%

Draw
33.3%

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Barretos is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

São-Carlense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Barretos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, São-Carlense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barretos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Barretos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Taquaritinga - Barretos	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Barretos - Nacional SP	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Penapolense - Barretos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Caetano - Barretos	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Barretos - Inter de Bebedouro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL
- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Lemense FC - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Penapolense	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Taquaritinga - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1
12.02.25	Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:2
28.02.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1

Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide