Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 7

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Matonense		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.47
				Watch
	5	3.8	1.5
	5.89	3.85	1.5
	5.8	3.85	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (5.09)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matonense
16.1%

Draw
23.6%

EC São Bernardo
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.8%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

23.1%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

EC São Bernardo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match EC São Bernardo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - Matonense	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Matonense - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	União Suzano - Matonense	5:2 ✺
28.01.24	Matonense - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.24	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Votuporanguense - EC São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	EC São Bernardo - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 ✺
31.01.24	União São João - EC São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
28.01.24	EC São Bernardo - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWT

Matonense - EC São Bernardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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