The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matonense 16.1%
Draw 23.6%
EC São Bernardo 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
23.8%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.4%
23.3%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
EC São Bernardo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.