Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Matonense		VOCEM

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	9.8	7.4	1.16
	8.73	7.14	1.13
	10.79	7.26	1.17	Watch
	13.7	7.2	1.11
	9.8	7.4	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.68 ↑ (5.36)	6.72 ↑ (4)	1.2 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matonense
9.5%

Draw
13.7%

VOCEM
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

22.2%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

21.1%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.

VOCEM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VOCEM's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VOCEM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matonense - VOCEM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rafael Tanque ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Fernandinho Bahia ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 2, Ibson ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Da Ora ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, Luiz ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 13).

Matonense is Relegated to Paulista B (First stage )

Matonense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches VOCEM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match VOCEM is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's VOCEM to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
08.03.25	Nacional SP - Matonense	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Matonense - Barretos	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Matonense - Joseense	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Matonense	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	União Barbarense - Matonense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vila Operária Clube Esporte Mariano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
08.03.25	VOCEM - União Barbarense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Taquaritinga - VOCEM	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	VOCEM - Colorado Caieiras	3:3 ✺
22.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - VOCEM	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - VOCEM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTTT

Matonense - VOCEM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide