Match Info

Date: 30 June 2020, Tuesday


	Mattersburg		Swarovski Tirol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.43	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.85
	2.56	3.57	2.78
	2.4	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.48	3.48	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.41)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattersburg
39.1%

Draw
27.7%

Swarovski Tirol
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.6%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattersburg than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swarovski Tirol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	22.2%	40.7%

Mattersburg - Swarovski Tirol Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mattersburg will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Mattersburg
Austrian Bundesliga
27.06.20	Mattersburg - Admira	1:2 ✺
23.06.20	Rheindorf Altach - Mattersburg	1:1 ✺
20.06.20	Mattersburg - St. Pölten	2:0 ✺
16.06.20	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	1:0 ✺
13.06.20	Mattersburg - Austria Wien	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
27.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
23.06.20	St. Pölten - Swarovski Tirol	1:1 ✺
20.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
16.06.20	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	1:0 ✺
13.06.20	Admira - Swarovski Tirol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
09.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - Mattersburg	1:1
15.12.19	Swarovski Tirol - Mattersburg	1:3
14.09.19	Mattersburg - Swarovski Tirol	0:2
Austrian OFB Cup
28.10.15	Swarovski Tirol - Mattersburg	0:2

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