Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
World	Onefootball


	Swarovski Tirol		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.98
	3.79	3.54	2.04
	10.07	4.83	1.32	Watch
	3.59	3.56	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (3.89)	3.76 ↑ (3.61)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
20.3%

Draw
26.4%

Austria Wien
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Wien will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Stejskal A. (G) 23. Boras M. 5. Lawrence J. 3. Gugganig D. 7. Butler Q. 4. Muller V. (C) 30. Taferner M. 20. Bockle B. 37. Wels M. 11. Anselm T. 10. Sabitzer T.	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 15. Dragovic A. 60. Radonjic D. 5. Barry A. 20. Saljic S. 30. Fischer M. (C) 28. Wiesinger P. 17. Lee Tae-Seok 9. Botic N. 19. Eggestein J.
Substitutes
29. Baden Frederiksen N. 28. Geris T. 16. Hinterseer L. 14. Kubatta D. 17. Naschberger J. 9. Ola-Adebomi A. 33. Rieder F. 1. Schermer P. (G) 21. Votter Y.	14. Boateng K. 21. Guenouche H. 99. Kos M. (G) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 6. Maybach P. 2. Pazourek L. 24. Plavotic T. 29. Raguz M. 11. Sarkaria M.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽,
17', Saljic S. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
24', 0 - 2, Botic N. ⚽, Eggestein J. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Wels M. ⚽, Butler Q. (A),
45+2', Lee Tae-Seok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Butler Q. ↓, Naschberger J. ↑,
55', 1 - 3, Eggestein J. ⚽,
62', Sabitzer T. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
62', Anselm T. ↓, Baden Frederiksen N. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Muller V. ⚽,
75', Botic N. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
75', Radonjic D. ↓, Plavotic T. ↑,
79', Wiesinger P. 🟨,
79', Boras M. 🟨,
83', Semlic P. 🟨,
87', Baden Frederiksen N. 🟨,
89', Taferner M. ↓, Ola-Adebomi A. ↑,
90', Barry A. ↓, Maybach P. ↑,
90', Eggestein J. ↓, Raguz M. ↑,
90+4', Hinterseer L. 🟥,
90+5', Sahin-Radlinger S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.

Swarovski Tirol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Austria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Swarovski Tirol has had a series of away games.

Austria could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Jaunegg D. (Muscle Injury) Sulzbacher L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Handl J. (Illness) Lee Kang-Hee (Knee Injury) Plavotic T. (Leg Injury) Vucic R. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
04.10.25	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Rheindorf Altach - Swarovski Tirol	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLT
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
04.10.25	Austria Wien - Blau-Weiss Linz	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Rapid Wien - Austria Wien	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Austria Wien - Ried	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Austria Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
16.03.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	0:2
26.10.24	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0
23.04.24	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	1:0
20.04.24	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0
10.03.24	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	2:0
22.10.23	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	0:2
06.11.22	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	0:0

Upcoming Matches