Match Info
Paulista B - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 4 July 2026, Saturday
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Mauá |
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União Mogi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.48 |
3.82 |
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 |
1.86 |
3.48 |
3.73 |
Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3.4 |
3.75 |
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 |
1.86 |
3.52 |
3.83 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.79) |
3.47 ↓ (3.56) |
3.78 ↓ (3.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mauá 50% | Draw 26.1% | União Mogi 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mauá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)União Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauá than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Mogi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Mauá - União Mogi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 20', 0 - 1, Beckham J. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Japa ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Kaua Alex ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 3-2.In recent matches, Mauá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).União Mogi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Mauá is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mauá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).Including home match between the teams, Mauá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Paulista B | | | 27.06.26 | União Mogi - Mauá | 2:3 | | 06.06.26 | Mauá - União Mogi | 0:0 | | 03.05.26 | União Mogi - Mauá | 2:3 | | 14.06.25 | União Mogi - Mauá | 2:3 | | 18.05.24 | União Mogi - Mauá | 0:1 |
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