Match Info

Paulista B - Second stage - Round 3

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mauaense		Tanabi

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Mauaense
25.5%

Draw
25.8%

Tanabi
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mauaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Tanabi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tanabi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauaense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tanabi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tanabi (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Mauaense has had a series of home games.

Tanabi might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GE Mauaense
Brazilian Paulista B
05.07.25	Mauaense - Assisense	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Mauá - Mauaense	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Mauaense - ECUS	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Mauaense - União Mogi	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Mauaense - Mauá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWL
- Tanabi EC
Brazilian Paulista B
05.07.25	Tanabi - Independente de Limeira	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Assisense - Tanabi	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Assisense - Tanabi	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	Tanabi - Tupã	4:1 ✺
25.05.25	Santacruzense - Tanabi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Mauaense - Tanabi