Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga East - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Mauerwerk		TWL Elektra

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.15
	2.7	3.7	2.19
	2.66	3.57	2.25
	2.69	3.71	2.24	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.3
	2.84	3.54	2.15
	2.7	3.7	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.3)	3.65 ↓ (4.3)	2.21 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mauerwerk
34%

Draw
24.9%

TWL Elektra
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

22%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.3%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mauerwerk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mauerwerk's performance.

TWL Elektra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TWL Elektra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mauerwerk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mauerwerk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWL Elektra than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TWL Elektra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mauerwerk - TWL Elektra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Fischer T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mauerwerk won 0.

Mauerwerk has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches TWL Elektra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TWL Elektra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mauerwerk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.8:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mauerwerk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mauerwerk
Austrian Regionalliga East
02.11.24	Leobendorf - Mauerwerk	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Mauerwerk - Austria Wien II	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Oberwart - Mauerwerk	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Mauerwerk - Kremser	0:3 ✺
05.10.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL
- TWL Elektra
Austrian Regionalliga East
01.11.24	TWL Elektra - Sportunion Mauer	3:0 ✺
25.10.24	TWL Elektra - Favoritner	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	TWL Elektra - Austria Wien II	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Leobendorf - TWL Elektra	5:3 ✺
04.10.24	Oberwart - TWL Elektra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
25.05.24	Mauerwerk - TWL Elektra	1:1
28.10.23	TWL Elektra - Mauerwerk	1:1
04.03.23	Mauerwerk - TWL Elektra	1:4
12.08.22	TWL Elektra - Mauerwerk	6:0
30.04.22	Mauerwerk - TWL Elektra	1:2
17.09.21	TWL Elektra - Mauerwerk	3:1

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