Match Info

Mocambola - Round 19

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Maxaquene (Maputo)


	Maxaquene		Ferroviário da Beira

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.70	2.50
	3.00	2.95	2.15
	2.81	2.78	2.53
	2.78	2.88	2.59	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.50
	2.97	2.78	2.47
	3.10	2.75	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.67)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)	2.43 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxaquene
31%

Draw
32.1%

Ferroviário da Beira
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

32.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxaquene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxaquene's performance.

Ferroviário da Beira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário da Beira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Maxaquene has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maxaquene has had a series of home games.

Ferroviário is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maxaquene won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Maxaquene won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ferroviario Beira	20	9	7	4	23:15	8	34
14	Maxaquene	20	1	8	11	8:24	-16	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxaquene
Mozambique Moçambola
29.08.26	Maxaquene - Sofala	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Black Bulls - Maxaquene	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLWL
- Ferroviário da Beira
Mozambique Moçambola
30.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário da Beira	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nacala	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nampula	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviário da Beira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
21.05.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Maxaquene	0:0
10.11.19	Maxaquene - Ferroviário da Beira	1:0
31.03.15	Maxaquene - Ferroviário da Beira	1:0

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