Match Info

Mocambola - Round 17

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Maxaquene (Maputo)


	Maxaquene		Ferroviário de Maputo

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.50	2.60
	2.9	2.58	2.55
	2.94	2.58	2.65
	2.98	2.59	2.69	Watch
	2.85	2.5	2.6
	2.92	2.59	2.61
	2.9	2.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.56)	2.56 ↓ (2.78)	2.61 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxaquene
30.7%

Draw
34.9%

Ferroviário de Maputo
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

32.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxaquene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxaquene's performance.

Ferroviário de Maputo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário de Maputo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ferro de Maputo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferro de Maputo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maxaquene won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Maxaquene won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ferroviario Maputo	19	7	5	7	14:11	3	26
14	Maxaquene	19	1	7	11	8:24	-16	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxaquene
Mozambique Moçambola
21.08.26	Black Bulls - Maxaquene	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	Maxaquene - ENH Vilankulo	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Maxaquene - Chingale de Tete	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTT
- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
22.08.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Costa do Sol	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Baía de Pemba	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	ENH Vilankulo - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
13.05.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Maxaquene	1:0
08.12.19	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0
19.07.15	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:1

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