Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Mazarrón		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.45	9.4
	1.31	4.69	8.84
	1.32	4.52	9.15
	1.3	4.2	10
	1.26	4.65	10.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	4.5 ↑ (4.47)	9.64 ↑ (9.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
70.3%

Draw
20.2%

El Palmar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

20.4%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mazarrón - El Palmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Almansa S. G. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Navarro A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Dieguito ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Cano J. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Alexander Murillo Arboleda M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

El Palmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mazarrón is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mazarrón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazarrón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.04.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Mazarrón - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mazarrón - Santomera	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Caravaca - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWT
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.04.26	Muleño - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	El Palmar - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Unión Molinense - El Palmar	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	El Palmar - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Santomera - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.12.25	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0
16.01.22	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0
12.09.21	Mazarrón - El Palmar	1:1
19.01.20	Mazarrón - El Palmar	0:0

Mazarrón - El Palmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide