Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	El Palmar		Atlético Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.61	3.22	2.56
	2.62	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.56	3.08	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palmar
34.8%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Santa Cruz
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-2%)

El Palmar - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

El Palmar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.03.26	Santomera - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	El Palmar - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cieza - El Palmar	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	El Palmar - Bala Azul	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Olímpico de Totana - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLLW
- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.03.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Unión Molinense - Atlético Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Muleño - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:4 ✺
18.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Santomera	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - El Palmar	1:2

El Palmar - Atlético Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide