Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Mazarrón		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.2	2.92
	2.23	3.14	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
41%

Draw
28.5%

Caravaca
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Mazarrón - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Martnez Guillamon J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Mazarrón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caravaca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caravaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mazarrón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mazarrón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mazarrón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	Mazarrón - Bala Azul	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Olímpico de Totana - Mazarrón	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mazarrón - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Minerva - Mazarrón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTTW
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.10.25	Caravaca - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Caravaca - Santomera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.04.22	Caravaca - Mazarrón	2:0
05.12.21	Mazarrón - Caravaca	3:0

Mazarrón - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide