Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Mazarrón		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.82	3.85
	2.03	2.98	3.85	Watch
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.04	3.13	3.86
	2	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.82 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
45.4%

Draw
30.8%

Pulpileño
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pulpileño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Mazarrón - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

Mazarrón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pulpileño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pulpileño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mazarrón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mazarrón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Mazarrón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pulpileno	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Pulpileño - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.01.26	Águilas B - Mazarrón	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Mazarrón - Muleño	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mazarrón - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLW
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Pulpileño - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pulpileño - Santomera	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.12.19	Mazarrón - Pulpileño	0:0
05.01.19	Pulpileño - Mazarrón	0:2

Mazarrón - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide