Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	El Palmar		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.2	2.18
	3.02	3.33	2.17
	2.62	3.28	2.53	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	2.96	3.25	2.19
	2.9	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.5)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palmar
31.3%

Draw
28.2%

Mazarrón
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palmar's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazarrón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mazarrón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Palmar - Mazarrón Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mazarrón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.11.25	El Palmar - Muleño	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWT
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.11.25	Mazarrón - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Santomera - Mazarrón	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mazarrón - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mazarrón - Bala Azul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.01.22	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0
12.09.21	Mazarrón - El Palmar	1:1
19.01.20	Mazarrón - El Palmar	0:0

El Palmar - Mazarrón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide