Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Mazatlan U21		Toluca U21

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.95	1.3
	7.1	4.85	1.29
	7.33	5.21	1.32	Watch
	6	5	1.33
	6.99	5.37	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↓ (7.22)	5.08 ↓ (5.11)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan U21
13.1%

Draw
17.9%

Toluca U21
69%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.8%

18%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

14.5%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Toluca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan U21 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mazatlan U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Toluca U21 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazatlan U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
17.04.26	Mazatlan U21 - Querétaro U21	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Mazatlan U21	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Necaxa U21 - Mazatlan U21	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Mazatlan U21 - Cruz Azul U21	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Club América U21 - Mazatlan U21	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWL
- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
18.04.26	Club América U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Toluca U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Toluca U21 - Juárez U21	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Toluca U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
27.09.25	Toluca U21 - Mazatlan U21	0:1

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