Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 23

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mbeya City		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.98	3.8
	1.92	3.05	3.82
	1.98	3.01	3.98	Watch
	2	2.75	3.75
	1.94	2.99	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.29)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3.86 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
46.1%

Draw
30.5%

Coastal Union
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mbeya City's performance.

Coastal Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Union than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Mbeya City - Coastal Union Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Dondola S. (G) 11. Abdallah O. 7. Ambokile E. (C) 42. Dilunga H. 20. Majimengi H. 60. Maranyingi B. 15. Mwasa D. 16. Naushad S. 28. Pemba K. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y. 6. Yassin A.	18. Ramadhani C. (G) 13. Gradi K. 17. Gwalala G. 24. Kichuya S. 16. Manyasi G. (C) 9. Maulid M. 21. Michael A. 5. Msangi A. 19. Msimu B. 26. Rasimos A. 2. William A.
Substitutes
26. Buha A. 24. Kassim M. I. 33. Kijili K. 54. Lidah H. 3. Mwalyanzi P. 17. Mwani W. 4. Pillar K. 32. Simon M. 13. Theodory S.	10. Makambo A. 8. Mkandala C. 40. Mwakisiki K. (G) 14. Mwamita M. 34. Mwanza S. 3. Oruchum C. 11. Segeja A. 12. Ulimwengu T. 50. Wawa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Maranyingi B. ↓, Kijili K. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Maulid M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Majimengi H. ↓, Mwani W. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Mwanza S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 0.

Mbeya City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Coastal Union has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mbeya City has had a series of away games.

Mbeya City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbeya City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	2	10
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
09.05.26	JKT Tanzania - Mbeya City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Prisons - Mbeya City	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Young Africans - Mbeya City	6:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Singida Black Stars - Mbeya City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTLL
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
09.05.26	Young Africans - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Coastal Union	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Coastal Union - Singida Black Stars	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Coastal Union - Dodoma Jiji	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Simba - Coastal Union	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
26.11.25	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	2:0
18.02.23	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	1:0
13.11.22	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	2:2
24.05.22	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	0:1
24.12.21	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	3:2
18.06.21	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	2:0
05.12.20	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	0:0

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