Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kagera Sugar		Azam

	1	X	2
	7.00	3.60	1.44
	6.50	3.45	1.47
	6.97	3.82	1.41
	6.67	3.76	1.49	Watch
	8.60	3.84	1.38
	7.00	3.85	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↑ (6.29)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
12.7%

Draw
24.3%

Azam
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

24.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Azam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kagera Sugar - Azam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Oseja A. (G) 5. Chikupe V. 29. Evastus J. 19. Kazimoto N. 45. Kiba 3. Luhende C. 18. Masanja J. 20. Mhilu D. 24. Milandu D. 47. Said M. 23. Sketo A.	32. Foba Z. (G) 23. Mkami H. 12. Msindo P. 27. Mubiru H. 5. Mwaikenda L. (C) 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 7. Sereri Z. 22. Stanic H. 25. Twalib M. 21. Zayd Y.
Substitutes
. Eduche 12. Ferous S. 1. Kipao S. (G) . Makidala 44. Matango E. . Momo 17. Mwaterema H. 13. Ndemla S. 11. Shaban N. 37. Yassin Y.	13. Abdulrafiu T. 31. Chilunda S. . Fasika I. 8. Kanoute S. 52. Kibeku A. . Makoma D. . Mano J. 19. Sillah G. 9. Suleiman A. 10. Zunon K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Sereri Z. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Salum F. ⚽,
32', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagera Sugar won 0.

Azam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Azam is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kagera Sugar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kagera Sugar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	4	14
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	5:14	-9	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.08.26	Mashujaa - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Kagera Sugar - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Simba - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Kagera Sugar - Mashujaa	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Kagera Sugar - Azam	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL
- Azam FC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.08.26	Geita Gold - Azam	2:2 ✺
20.08.26	Azam - TRA United	2:1 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
04.07.26	Simba - Azam	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
30.06.26	Azam - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
24.06.26	Young Africans - Azam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
19.04.25	Kagera Sugar - Azam	2:4
23.11.24	Azam - Kagera Sugar	1:0
25.05.24	Azam - Kagera Sugar	5:1
21.12.23	Kagera Sugar - Azam	0:4
16.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Azam	2:2
17.08.22	Azam - Kagera Sugar	2:1
03.05.22	Kagera Sugar - Azam	1:0

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