Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 9

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mbeya City		Namungo

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.16	3.04	3.40	Watch
	2.16	3.09	3.4
	2.14	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
42.5%

Draw
30.4%

Namungo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Namungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mbeya City - Namungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Kakolanya B. D. (G) 10. Ambokile E. (C) 26. Buha A. 44. Chibada O. 7. Kyombo H. 60. Maranyingi B. 6. Mwaipola G. 9. Mwangosi B. 15. Mwasa D. 4. Pillar K. 32. Simon M.	43. Malik M. (G) 2. Ahmed A. 21. Chamungu A. R. 60. Kazi H. 8. Kikoti L. 50. Kiswanya A. 30. Lukindo H. 5. Mfuko A. 29. Ngoye F. 6. Rogers G. 12. Swalehe H.
Substitutes
. Dixon D. W. 18. Dondola S. (G) 29. Malacki M. . Mwaibindi J. . Mwalyanzi P. 17. Mwani W. . Okoli P. O. . Okoyo D. 28. Pemba K. . Stewart T.	. Kipenye C. . Kissu L. 26. Luzendaze G. 19. Makambo H. 7. Manyanya H. . Masawe J. . Mathew F. . Suleiman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Ngoye F. ⚽, Chamungu A. R. (A),
45+2', Ambokile E. ↓, Mwani W. ↑,
45+2', Kyombo H. ↓, Dixon D. W. ↑,
45+2', Simon M. ↓, Mayanga V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lukindo H. ↓, Masawe J. ↑,
47', Swalehe H. 🟨,
64', Chibada O. ↓, Mwalyanzi P. ↑,
64', Chamungu A. R. ↓, Kipenye C. ↑,
64', Ngoye F. ↓, Makambo H. ↑,
74', Kikoti L. ↓, Luzendaze G. ↑,
75', Mwangosi B. ↓, Okoli P. O. ↑,
87', Buha A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Namungo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mbeya City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbeya City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
26.11.25	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Mbeya City - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	Mbeya City - Prisons	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	0:3 ✺
30.09.25	Mbeya City - Young Africans	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTLWT
- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.11.25	Namungo - Dodoma Jiji	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Namungo - Azam	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	JKT Tanzania - Namungo	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Simba - Namungo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.23	Namungo - Mbeya City	2:1
04.11.22	Mbeya City - Namungo	2:1
29.06.22	Mbeya City - Namungo	1:1
21.02.22	Namungo - Mbeya City	2:0
24.04.21	Namungo - Mbeya City	0:1
25.09.20	Mbeya City - Namungo	0:1
15.07.20	Namungo - Mbeya City	1:0

Upcoming Matches