Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 25

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday


	Mbeya City		Ruvu Shooting

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	1.89	3.13	4.2
	1.95	3.02	4.15	Watch
	2.11	2.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)	2.96 ↑ (2.93)	3.85 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
45.4%

Draw
30.8%

Ruvu Shooting
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ruvu Shooting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mbeya City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruvu Shooting than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mbeya City won 4.

Recent matches Mbeya City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruvu Shooting is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruvu Shooting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mbeya City have a series of guest games.

Mbeya City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mbeya City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mbeya City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
23.02.23	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Singida Black Stars - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
18.01.23	Simba - Mbeya City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Ruvu Shooting
Tanzanian Premier League
24.02.23	Ruvu Shooting - Kagera Sugar	0:1 ✺
17.02.23	Geita Gold - Ruvu Shooting	3:2 ✺
05.02.23	Ruvu Shooting - Kinondoni MC	2:1 ✺
23.01.23	Young Africans - Ruvu Shooting	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Coastal Union - Ruvu Shooting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
31.10.22	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya City	0:1
19.06.22	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya City	0:1
20.01.22	Mbeya City - Ruvu Shooting	1:0
13.05.21	Mbeya City - Ruvu Shooting	2:0
20.11.20	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya City	3:0
01.02.19	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya City	1:0
11.03.18	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya City	2:2

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