Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 26

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mbeya City		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.30	4.50
	1.68	3.38	4.54
	1.71	3.47	4.69	Watch
	1.70	3.20	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.34 ↓ (3.47)	4.53 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
53.2%

Draw
27%

Mtibwa Sugar
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mussa H. (G) 10. Ambokile E. (C) 26. Buha A. 42. Dilunga H. 33. Kijili K. 54. Lidah H. 19. Msuya R. 17. Mwani W. 15. Mwasa D. 28. Pemba K. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y.	38. Malimi C. (G) 20. Chicharo 29. Chota G. 13. Datius P. 48. Derrick M. 69. Evance F. 15. Kyaruzi E. 26. Liuzio J. 6. Lyawatwa H. 45. Mkopi S. 12. Nyangi J.
Substitutes
18. Dondola S. (G) 24. Kassim M. I. 14. Lukandamila D. 29. Magogwa M. 60. Maranyingi B. 16. Naushad S. 4. Pillar K. 32. Simon M. . Theodory S. 6. Yassin A.	8. Buzungu O. 10. Hafidh R. . Hillary A. 33. Kazi S. 7. Kiziwa N. 24. Laurent A. 17. Msafiri K. . Mtewele F. 2. Mwashilindi E. 31. Reuben T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Buha A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Mbeya City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mbeya City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbeya City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
26.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mbeya City	4:1 ✺
21.05.26	Namungo - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	JKT Tanzania - Mbeya City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Prisons - Mbeya City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
20.05.26	TRA United - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mtibwa Sugar	4:0 ✺
06.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
21.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:1
22.01.23	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
02.10.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:2
07.05.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	1:0
20.11.21	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	3:1
18.05.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:0
28.11.20	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0

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