Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Simba		Mbeya City

	1	X	2
	1.09	7.1	18.5
	1.1	7.25	14.12
	1.12	7.16	17.39	Watch
	1.11	7	15
	1.09	7.1	18
	1.1	6.66	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.09)	7.05 ↓ (7.4)	17 ↓ (19.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Simba
81.9%

Draw
12.8%

Mbeya City
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.1%

12.2%

4.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Simba - Mbeya City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Suleiman Y. (G) 18. Abraham M. 10. Ahoua J. C. 21. Kagoma Y. 8. Kante A. 15. Kapombe S. 2. Karaboue C. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 31. Nangu W. 3. Sowah J.	48. Kakolanya B. D. (G) 10. Ambokile E. 44. Chibada O. 14. Lukandamila D. 60. Maranyingi B. 22. Mayanga V. 6. Mwaipola G. 28. Pemba K. 4. Pillar K. 32. Simon M. 13. Stewart T.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 17. Bajaber M. 30. Camara N. . Duchu 38. Kibu D. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 11. Mukwala S. 7. Mutale J. 37. Semfuko H.	18. Dondola S. (G) 7. Kyombo H. 24. Madai M. 19. Msuya R. . Mwaibindi J. . Mwalyanzi P. 9. Mwangosi B. 17. Mwani W. 15. Mwasa D. . Okoli P. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Sowah J. 🟨,
23', Mayanga V. 🟥,
28', 1 - 0, Abraham M. ⚽, Mpanzu E. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Sowah J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Mwaipola G. ↓, Mwasa D. ↑,
52', Simon M. ↓, Mwangosi B. ↑,
60', Kapombe S. ↓, Duchu ↑,
60', Sowah J. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
60', Ahoua J. C. ↓, Maema N. ↑,
66', Ambokile E. ↓, Mwani W. ↑,
69', Mwasa D. 🟨,
85', 3 - 0, Bajaber M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 3.

Recent performances by Simba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mbeya City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Simba is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Simba won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Simba - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
08.11.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.10.25	Simba - Nsingizini Hotspurs	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nsingizini Hotspurs - Simba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTW
- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.11.25	Mbeya City - Namungo	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Mbeya City - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	Mbeya City - Prisons	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
18.01.23	Simba - Mbeya City	3:2
23.11.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:1
16.06.22	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0
17.01.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:0
22.06.21	Simba - Mbeya City	4:1
13.12.20	Mbeya City - Simba	0:1
24.06.20	Mbeya City - Simba	0:2

Upcoming Matches