Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Mbeya Kwanza		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.7	3.7
	2.1	2.7	3.75
	2.08	2.6	3.8
	2.22	2.56	4.25
	2.15	2.69	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)	3.89 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya Kwanza
42.5%

Draw
34.2%

Mtibwa Sugar
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya Kwanza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya Kwanza than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mbeya Kwanza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mtibwa Sugar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mbeya Kwanza - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Mbeya Kwanza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mtibwa Sugar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mtibwa Sugar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mbeya Kwanza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mbeya Kwanza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya Kwanza
Tanzanian Premier League
06.02.22	Simba - Mbeya Kwanza	1:0 ✺
03.02.22	Ruvu Shooting - Mbeya Kwanza	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
18.01.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Azam	0:1 ✺
27.12.21	Geita Gold - Mbeya Kwanza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLT
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
23.02.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Simba	0:0 ✺
14.01.22	Ruvu Shooting - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
28.12.21	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
27.09.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya Kwanza	0:1

Mbeya Kwanza - Mtibwa Sugar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide