Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 30

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Majaliwa Stadium (Lindi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tanzania	UTV


	Namungo		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.40	5.25
	1.68	3.05	4.90
	1.60	3.53	5.49
	1.63	3.51	5.34	Watch
	1.60	3.40	5.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	5.3 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Namungo
56%

Draw
26.8%

Mtibwa Sugar
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

29.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Suleiman A. (G) 15. Chamungu A. 17. Kabunda H. 60. Kazi H. 8. Kikoti L. (C) 50. Kiswanya A. 30. Lukindo H. 26. Luzendaze G. 14. Machela J. 7. Manyanya H. 29. Ngoye F.	38. Malimi C. (G) 20. Chicharo 13. Datius P. 14. Dennis 69. Evance F. 15. Kyaruzi E. 25. Liuzio J. 3. Masai O. (C) 11. Mhesa I. 12. Nyangi J. 9. Simchimba A.
Substitutes
31. Feruzi A. (G) 69. Kamoga J. 10. Kipenye C. 2. Machupa A. 24. Masawe J. 5. Mfuko A. 6. Nsajigwa S. 53. Rajabu K. 22. Shahame A. 12. Swalehe H.	. Dickson F. . Dio D. (G) 10. Hafidh R. 33. Kazi S. 48. Kiziwa N. 31. Kutisha T. (G) 24. Laurent A. 45. Mkopi S. 17. Msafiri K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Mhesa I. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Luzendaze G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Kyaruzi E. 🟨,
56', Lukindo H. 🟨,
59', Kikoti L. ↓, Masawe J. ↑,
59', Kabunda H. ↓, Kipenye C. ↑,
62', Simchimba A. ↓, Msafiri K. ↑,
74', Mhesa I. ↓, Hafidh R. ↑,
74', Liuzio J. ↓, Kiziwa N. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Masawe J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 1.

Recent performances by Namungo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mtibwa Sugar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mtibwa Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Namungo is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Namungo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.06.26	Namungo - Singida Fountain Gate	0:0 ✺
24.06.26	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	2:3 ✺
16.06.26	Namungo - TRA United	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Coastal Union - Namungo	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Young Africans - Namungo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTTL
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.06.26	Pamba - Mtibwa Sugar	4:0 ✺
13.06.26	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
20.05.26	TRA United - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
07.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	1:1
20.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	0:0
07.12.23	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
16.12.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	1:1
15.08.22	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	2:2
26.06.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	2:4
06.02.22	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	3:1

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