Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 16

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Jamhuri Stadium (Dodoma)


	Mtibwa Sugar		Young Africans

	1	X	2
	21	5	1.18
	12.87	5.28	1.22	Watch
	11.4	4.3	1.28	Watch
	6.5	4.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.94 ↑ (11.4)	4.67 ↑ (4.3)	1.27 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
7.1%

Draw
19.8%

Young Africans
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Young Africans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	39. Diarra D. (G)
	38. Abuya D.
	36. Assinki F.
	15. Hussein M.
	3. Mwamnyeto B. (C)
	30. Mwanengo E.
	33. Mwenda I. P.
	7. Nzengeli M.
	20. Okello A.
	27. Yahya M.
	10. Zouzoua P.
Substitutes
	2. Andabwile A.
	25. Damaro M.
	13. Jammeh B.
	22. Khamis S.
	8. Kouma L.
	. Mohammed A.
	. Mshary A. (G)
	37. Othman A.
	12. Shomari K.
	21. Yao K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Zouzoua P. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Mhesa I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 0.

In recent matches, Mtibwa Sugar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Young Africans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mtibwa Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mtibwa Sugar has had a series of home games.

Recently, Young Africans has had a series of away games.

In this match, Young Africans is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16:2	14	18

Last Results with these Odds

Young Africans - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 70.92%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
25.02.26	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Mashujaa	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWW
- Young Africans SC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.03.26	TRA United - Young Africans	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Azam - Young Africans	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Prisons - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Singida Black Stars - Young Africans	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Young Africans - Simba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
28.10.25	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0
16.12.23	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	4:1
31.12.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans	0:1
13.09.22	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	3:0
29.06.22	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
23.02.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans	0:2
20.02.21	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0

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