Match Info

GFA League - Round 22

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Medina United		Falcons

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.72	2.44	3.22	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3
	2.57	2.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Medina United
35.2%

Draw
35%

Falcons
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

35.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

35.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Medina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Medina United - Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Medina United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Falcons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Medina United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	9	54
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Medina United FA
Gambian GFA League
18.04.26	BST Galaxy - Medina United	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Medina United - Brikama United	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Samger - Medina United	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Team Rhino - Medina United	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Medina United - TMT	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW
- Falcons FC Gambia
Gambian GFA League
18.04.26	Falcons - TMT	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Gambia Ports Authority - Falcons	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Falcons - Banjul Hawks	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Falcons - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bombada - Falcons	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
20.01.26	Falcons - Medina United	2:1

Medina United - Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide