Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Knights Stadium (Melbourne)


	Melbourne Knights		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	3.3	3.85	1.87	Watch
	3.39	4.1	1.9	Watch
	3.18	4.12	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.74)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Knights
29%

Draw
23.8%

Preston Lions
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Preston Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preston Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Melbourne Knights - Preston Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Preston (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Melbourne Knights is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Preston Lions is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Preston Lions will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
30.03.25	Melbourne Knights - St Albans Dinamo	3:1 ✺
21.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Green Gully - Melbourne Knights	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne Knights	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
28.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
21.03.25	Preston Lions - Oakleigh Cannons	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Avondale - Preston Lions	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWT

Melbourne Knights - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide