Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 17

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Park Stadium (Melbourne)


	Heidelberg United		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.50	3.30
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.85	3.78	3.9
	2.29	2.46	4.29	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.85	3.54	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	3.65 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg United
47.1%

Draw
27.6%

Preston Lions
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

25.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Heidelberg United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Heidelberg United - Preston Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Heidelberg United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Preston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Heidelberg United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidelberg United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
05.06.26	Dandenong City - Heidelberg United	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Heidelberg United - Dandenong Thunder	4:2 ✺
22.05.26	Green Gully - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Heidelberg United	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
31.05.26	St Albans Dinamo - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Preston Lions - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Altona Magic - Preston Lions	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Preston Lions - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
07.03.26	Preston Lions - Heidelberg United	0:1
05.09.25	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	2:1
06.06.25	Preston Lions - Heidelberg United	0:1
28.02.25	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	1:1

Heidelberg United - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide