Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 8

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Port Melbourne Sharks		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.35	3.7	1.89	Watch
	3.38	3.98	1.93	Watch
	3.64	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.35	3.7	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (4.71)	3.72 ↓ (4.27)	1.88 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Melbourne Sharks
26.6%

Draw
24.6%

Preston Lions
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

21.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

20.8%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Melbourne Sharks's performance.

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Preston Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Melbourne Sharks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Romero J. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Dib N. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Pharoe D. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Lazaar A. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Port Melbourne is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Preston Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Preston Lions is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
23.03.25	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWL
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
21.03.25	Preston Lions - Oakleigh Cannons	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Avondale - Preston Lions	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Preston Lions - Altona Magic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTW

Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide