Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		Eltham Redbacks

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.95	1.98
	3.03	4.4	1.87
	2.97	4.42	1.91	Watch
	2.8	3.8	1.95
	2.9	4.14	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)	4.14 ↑ (3.73)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
31.2%

Draw
22%

Eltham Redbacks
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

23.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Eltham Redbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Melbourne Srbija has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eltham Redbacks is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.04.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Srbija	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Manningham United - Melbourne Srbija	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Srbija	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLW
- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Western United U21 - Eltham Redbacks	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Brunswick City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide