Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 20

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Melbourne Srbija		Melbourne City Youth

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.66
	3.1	3.9	1.86
				Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.75
	3.57	4.05	1.75
	4.11	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	3.93 ↓ (4.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
24.6%

Draw
23.1%

Melbourne City Youth
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

20.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

20.4%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne City Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Melbourne Srbija is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melbourne City Youth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Melbourne Srbija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne City Youth has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne Srbija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne Srbija	0:3 ✺
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Manningham United	5:0 ✺
24.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Brunswick City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLWW
- Melbourne City Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.06.25	Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne City Youth	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne City Youth	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Melbourne City Youth - Manningham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
23.03.25	Melbourne City Youth - Melbourne Srbija	2:2

Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne City Youth