Match Info

A-League Women - Round 5

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: The Home of the Matildas (Melbourne)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.65
	1.91	3.7	3.84
	1.44	4.88	5.86	Watch
	1.76	3.54	4	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.44)	3.81 ↓ (4.88)	4.2 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
53.2%

Draw
24.5%

Perth Glory
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

19.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perth Glory's recent form is better than expected.

Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Melbourne Victory (1.88) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 81. Maher G. 18. Morrison K. (C) 19. McMeeken Z. 23. Lowe R. 10. Pollicina R. 66. Jancevski A. 5. Sakalis S. 16. White K. 9. Furphy H.	33. Dall'Oste A. (G) 24. Sardo J. 13. Thomas-Chinnama N. 29. Zogg O. 5. Johnston G. 27. Wainwright C. 10. Phonsongkham S. 6. Mckenna T. 17. Badawiya R. (C) 9. Hollar G. 25. Lincoln E.
Substitutes
27. Curtis R. 7. O'Grady E. 6. Ray T. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G) 41. Young J.	2. Anderson M. 22. Brooking I. 8. Cassidy G. 30. Skinner J. (G) 12. Trew B. 28. Westaway C.
Coaches
Hopkins J.	Peters S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, White K. ⚽, McMeeken Z. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Sakalis S. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
42', 3 - 0, Pollicina R. ⚽, Sakalis S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Wainwright C. ↓, Cassidy G. ↑,
60', Hollar G. ↓, Trew B. ↑,
72', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
72', Lincoln E. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
77', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
81', Mckenna T. ↓, Westaway C. ↑,
86', Pollicina R. ↓, Young J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.

Perth Glory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
22.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL
- Perth Glory Women
Australian A-League Women
22.11.25	Canberra United - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sydney FC - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
18.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:0
08.12.24	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:1
12.01.24	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:1
18.11.23	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	2:2
06.01.23	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:1
11.12.22	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:3
19.02.22	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	0:2

Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide