Match Info

A-League Women - Round 4

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.68	3.81	1.9
	3.61	3.83	1.88	Watch
	4.03	3.56	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	3.65 ↓ (3.83)	1.88 (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
25.2%

Draw
25.4%

Melbourne Victory
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 16. Van der Meer M. 4. Barry M. 5. Walker E. 24. Vlok P. 2. Bott C. (C) 7. Jale G. 21. Wall L. 23. Nunn B. 11. Elliott M. 20. Main E.	1. Newbon C. (G) 19. McMeeken Z. 3. Bunge C. 81. Maher G. 18. Morrison K. (C) 66. Jancevski A. 10. Pollicina R. 5. Sakalis S. 23. Lowe R. 16. White K. 9. Furphy H.
Substitutes
28. Bartlett G. 15. Brazendale D. 26. Brazendale L. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 19. Ingham O. 12. McMillan E.	27. Curtis R. 7. O'Grady E. 24. Pickett L. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G) 41. Young J.
Coaches
Priestman B.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Vlok P. ⚽,
45+3', White K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Main E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
74', Sakalis S. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
86', McMeeken Z. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
88', Bott C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0.

Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
15.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Wellington Phoenix - Western United	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTLL
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
07.02.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:1
13.12.24	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1
02.03.24	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	5:3
09.12.23	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:2
31.03.23	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:2
04.12.22	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
04.02.22	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	0:2

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide