Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.8	1.88
	2.79	4.06	2.17	Watch
	2.85	3.58	2.13
	2.47	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.07)	3.76 ↑ (3.71)	2.15 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
32.4%

Draw
24.6%

Green Gully
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

24.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

24.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory Youth's form might have worsened.

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Green Gully's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Green Gully, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Derrick L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, Maclean J. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Victory Youth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Victory Youth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Victory Youth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
21.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Avondale - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:1 ✺
24.02.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - South Melbourne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWLLT
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
22.03.25	Altona Magic - Green Gully	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Green Gully - Melbourne Knights	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Green Gully - Dandenong City	0:5 ✺
28.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
13.08.16	Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:1
14.05.16	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	2:5

Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide