Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 22

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Green Gully Reserve (Melbourne)


	Green Gully		Dandenong City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.60	1.88
	2.95	3.35	2.05
	3.58	4.04	1.90
	3.38	3.82	1.95	Watch
	3.40	4.00	1.82
	3.56	3.87	1.89	Watch
	3.30	3.65	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Green Gully
27.4%

Draw
24.5%

Dandenong City
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Green Gully - Dandenong City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Green Gully will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 0.

Green Gully has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dandenong City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dandenong City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Green Gully won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
17.07.26	Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Green Gully - Altona Magic	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	South Melbourne - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWL
- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
17.07.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong City	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Dandenong City - South Melbourne	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Hume City - Dandenong City	0:0 ✺
26.06.26	Dandenong City - Avondale	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Dandenong City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
17.04.26	Dandenong City - Green Gully	2:1
13.06.25	Dandenong City - Green Gully	0:0
07.03.25	Green Gully - Dandenong City	0:5
05.07.24	Green Gully - Dandenong City	2:3
05.04.24	Dandenong City - Green Gully	1:1
11.06.22	Dandenong City - Green Gully	1:4
11.03.22	Green Gully - Dandenong City	1:0

Green Gully - Dandenong City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide