Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.45	Watch
	4.85	3.95	1.62	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.57	3.46	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.36)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.29 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
31.2%

Draw
27%

Green Gully
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altona Magic's form might have worsened.

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Green Gully's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altona Magic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Green Gully, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altona Magic - Green Gully Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 2.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Green Gully may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Green Gully - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Altona Magic - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Altona Magic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Avondale - Green Gully	5:0 ✺
20.02.26	Green Gully - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
27.06.25	Green Gully - Altona Magic	2:3
22.03.25	Altona Magic - Green Gully	0:0
15.06.24	Altona Magic - Green Gully	0:0
08.03.24	Green Gully - Altona Magic	2:4
16.06.23	Green Gully - Altona Magic	5:2
18.03.23	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:2
28.05.22	Altona Magic - Green Gully	0:4

Altona Magic - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide